Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.214726 0.249433 0.289807 0.340697 0.403778 0.480268 5.813759e-01
2025-03-16 0.160040 0.202447 0.257764 0.337050 0.450983 0.614157 8.762649e-01
2025-03-23 0.133037 0.179172 0.244778 0.348909 0.518337 0.800166 1.347947e+00
2025-03-30 0.111002 0.156271 0.224786 0.342180 0.552777 0.949557 1.865072e+00
2025-04-06 0.097771 0.142942 0.215093 0.347461 0.607450 1.160688 2.689943e+00
2025-04-13 0.086106 0.129635 0.202176 0.342815 0.640818 1.346378 3.659572e+00
2025-04-20 0.078577 0.121627 0.196345 0.349259 0.699096 1.626384 5.320711e+00
2025-04-27 0.072868 0.115702 0.192901 0.359227 0.769444 1.990476 8.041376e+00
2025-05-04 0.067856 0.110204 0.189143 0.367396 0.839257 2.414050 1.230206e+01
2025-05-11 0.063803 0.105838 0.186737 0.377891 0.920773 2.962201 1.982454e+01
2025-05-18 0.059725 0.100873 0.182267 0.382362 0.987674 3.534439 3.163999e+01
2025-05-25 0.056106 0.096332 0.177934 0.386120 1.055254 4.206896 5.258023e+01
2025-06-01 0.052378 0.091246 0.171884 0.384608 1.107713 4.906298 8.900069e+01
2025-06-08 0.048586 0.085650 0.163976 0.376439 1.133895 5.517356 1.467721e+02
2025-06-15 0.046574 0.083453 0.163403 0.388920 1.249895 7.016523 3.784793e+02
2025-06-22 0.043509 0.078752 0.156380 0.380826 1.276491 7.901712 7.829065e+02
2025-06-29 0.041555 0.076202 0.154108 0.386786 1.372096 9.753744 3.052955e+03
2025-07-06 0.039184 0.072531 0.148641 0.381419 1.411895 11.196030 1.367944e+04
2025-07-13 0.037664 0.070570 0.147149 0.388811 1.524517 14.129477 1.509316e+06
2025-07-20 0.036444 0.069153 0.146838 0.400267 1.671304 18.587993 NaN
2025-07-27 0.035215 0.067598 0.145965 0.409668 1.817252 24.407794 NaN
2025-08-03 0.034170 0.066368 0.145791 0.421760 1.995561 33.314953 NaN
2025-08-10 0.032934 0.064583 0.143892 0.426914 2.134662 43.597577 NaN